Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

22%
-10% last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Bastien Tronchon is recorded as the winner of any 2026 Vuelta a España stage with a stage number greater than 10 in the race organiser's official stage results (La Vuelta) or the UCI results on or before the market's resolution date. Joint stage wins count as YES if Tronchon is named among the winner(s). If the 2026 Vuelta is cancelled or no stages beyond stage 10 are run, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 31 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Bastien Tronchon's recent form, I expect he'll snatch another stage win after number 10. The competition is tight, but he's a strong contender in the final weeks.

22%
-10% last 24h

79%
Stable · last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h

63%
Stable · last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h
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