Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

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YES if Bass Persuades by Miley Cyrus has strictly more than 50,000 album‑equivalent units in the U.S. for the tracking week September 18, 2026 through September 24, 2026, according to Luminate Data, LLC. The Luminate figure must be reported by no later than 10:00 AM ET on Sunday, September 27, 2026.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledMiley Cyrus has consistently strong fan support, and an album launch typically generates significant sales. I'm confident that "Bass Persuades" will surpass 50,000 album-equivalent units in its tracking week.

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