Will Bally Bagayoko be suspended or expelled from La France Insoumise?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 18:00 on August 15, 2026, La France Insoumise publicly announces that Bally Bagayoko has been suspended or expelled from party membership. A public announcement means an official party statement on the party website, an official press release, or an explicit message from central party leadership reported by major national news agencies. If the party only announces the opening of internal disciplinary proceedings without explicitly stating a suspension or expulsion, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 12%, based on 104 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

12%

Predictions made

104

Credits staked

3,037

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 9, 2026

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 15, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 12% and NO 88%, based on 104 predictions and 3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Bally Bagayoko be suspended or expelled from La France Insoumise?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Bally Bagayoko be suspended or expelled from La France Insoumise?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.