Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

29%
+1% last 24h

63%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Aug 23This market resolves to yes if Atlético de Madrid is recorded as the winner, meaning they have more official goals than Villarreal, in LaLiga's official result for the match played on August 23, 2026. Multiple independent match reports record the game as a 2-2 draw on August 23, 2026, with Atlético goals from Marc Pubill and Giuliano Simeone and Villarreal goals from Gerard Moreno and Georges Mikautadze, both from penalties. Because both teams scored two goals, Atlético did not score more and did not win, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled63%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent, credible match reports show the game finished in a 2-2 draw on 2026-08-23. Reuters, ESPN's match page and Fox Sports' boxscore all list Atlético 2, Villarreal 2 (Atlético goals: Marc Pubill and Giuliano Simeone; Villarreal goals: Gerard Moreno (pen) and Georges Mikautadze (pen)). Because both teams scored 2, Atlético did not score more goals and did not win.
Source: reuters.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledThe Atlético de Madrid will win this match against Villarreal. Their form suggests they’ll secure the goals needed to come out on top, and the timeline allows for a solid performance.

29%
+1% last 24h

97%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h

60%
+1% last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

33%
+1% last 24h
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