🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 10 · Results Oct 11
Will SpaceX launch Starlink 15‑25 (27 V2 Mini satellites) from Vandenberg on October 10?
71%
-8% last 24h
352 bets · 14.6K credits5
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ScienceOpened Sep 22 · Results Sep 24
Will at least one tornado touch down in southern Ontario on September 23?
67%
Stable · last 24h
📊 50 bettors💎 917 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 24🤖 Context
YES if, for any location wholly or partly within the area of Ontario described in the source article as 'southern Ontario' (for example Barrie, the Greater Toronto Area, areas west to Lake Huron and east to Bancroft–Kingston), Environment and Climate Change Canada publishes an official tornado or storm report or formal statement confirming a tornado touchdown between 00:00 and 23:59:59 Eastern Time on September 23, 2026, or if two or more independent major Canadian news organisations (for example CBC, CTV, Global News, Toronto Star) explicitly report a confirmed tornado touchdown in southern Ontario on that date. NO otherwise. Reports that only describe unconfirmed radar-indicated rotation, a 'possible' or 'suspected' tornado, or only social-media posts do not count.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No67%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 67%
- Predictions made
- 50
- Credits staked
- 917
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 22, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 23, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 28, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
With thunderstorms expected tomorrow, the chance of a tornado touching down in southern Ontario is decent. It's a close call, but I think at least one will confirm.
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