Will at least one tornado touch down in metropolitan France on August 24?

🤖 Context

YES if at least one tornado — an atmospheric vortex explicitly described as a 'tornado' or 'waterspout' that made landfall and caused measurable impact — occurs on 24 August 2026 between 00:00 and 23:59:59 France local time (UTC+2) and is publicly confirmed by Keraunos, appears as a tornado in a Météo‑France bulletin, or is announced as a tornado in an official communiqué from the affected département's prefecture or by the département's emergency services. Waterspouts that stayed at sea do not count, and a single social media post or eyewitness claim not later confirmed by those official sources counts as NO. If an event is later officially reclassified as not a tornado, that reclassification controls the outcome.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 25%, based on 45 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

25%

Predictions made

45

Credits staked

1,572

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 24, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 25, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 25% and NO 75%, based on 45 predictions and 1.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one tornado touch down in metropolitan France on August 24?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one tornado touch down in metropolitan France on August 24?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.