Will at least one sitting mayor be detained, arrested, or formally charged in connection with 'Operación Enjambre'?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than September 30, 2026 the Gabinete de Seguridad or the Fiscalía General de la República issues an official press release or public communiqué that names or explicitly identifies at least one person described as a "presidente municipal" (a mayor in office) who has been detained, arrested, or formally charged in connection with "Operación Enjambre". YES also if two or more major national news outlets report the same thing citing those official communiqués. If official statements refer only to "ex‑presidentes municipales" (former mayors), that does not count. Use the label the official communiqué uses at the time of reporting to determine whether the person was a mayor in office.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eluniversal.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

74%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

86

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 12, 2026

Closes

Oct 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

eluniversal.com.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 74% and NO 26%, based on 2 predictions and 86 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against eluniversal.com.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one sitting mayor be detained, arrested, or formally charged in connection with 'Operación Enjambre'?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one sitting mayor be detained, arrested, or formally charged in connection with 'Operación Enjambre'?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.