Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?

10%
-1% last 24h

27%
Stable · last 24h
YES if no later than August 27, 2026, two or more independent Spanish news outlets report that a public authority in Asturias has issued an official order, administrative resolution, or instruction to remove, dismantle, or cover (seal) at least one of the five roadside billboards showing Nayib Bukele near Oviedo. Voluntary removal by the advertiser or landowner without any public-authority order counts as NO. Announcements of inquiries or intentions without an actual removal order count as NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 27%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the tight timeline and the requirement for official orders from authorities, it's highly unlikely. I wouldn't bet on any removals happening before the deadline.

10%
-1% last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h

47%
Stable · last 24h

36%
-3% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy