Will at least one metropolitan French département be on Météo‑France orange or red for heatwave on August 14?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France’s Vigilance archive map for 14 August 2026 shows at least one metropolitan French département, a coastal zone, or the national 'FRANCE' roll‑up at orange or red for heatwave at any time during 14 August 2026. Otherwise NO. Only metropolitan France counts; orange or red shown exclusively for overseas departments does not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 97%, based on 260 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

97%

Predictions made

260

Credits staked

10,436

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 13, 2026

Closes

Aug 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 15, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 97% and NO 3%, based on 260 predictions and 10.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one metropolitan French département be on Météo‑France orange or red for heatwave on August 14?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one metropolitan French département be on Météo‑France orange or red for heatwave on August 14?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.