Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official FIA race classification for the 2026 Heineken Dutch Grand Prix (Grand Prix race on Aug 23, 2026) shows Lando Norris or Oscar Piastri classified P1, P2, or P3 after any post‑race penalties published by the FIA. Otherwise NO. The market will be resolved using the FIA official race classification or Formula1.com's official race result, with ordinary independent reporting (e.g. Reuters, BBC, AP, ESPN) acceptable as corroboration.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 16 predictions.
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94%
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46%
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67%
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84%
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