Will TikTok publicly admit it deliberately excluded about 15 million accounts from the safer-algorithm update?

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YES if at least one finished episode produced under the Dhar Mann Studios–Disney agreement announced August 21, 2026 is publicly released and playable on Disney+ in at least one country no later than October 21, 2026, according to a Walt Disney Company press release or a Disney+ program/catalog page and corroborated by major industry coverage (Deadline, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, Tubefilter). Trailers, promo clips, press releases that only say episodes “will” arrive, festival screenings, or releases only on other Disney services (Hulu, linear TV, FAST) do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tubefilter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 37%, based on 21 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline, it’s tight, but Disney typically delivers on partnerships like this. Expect at least one episode released by the deadline, so I’m betting yes on this one.

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