Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if, according to the FIA official classifications or the updated FIA Formula One World Championship standings for the Dutch Grand Prix (Zandvoort, 21–23 August 2026), at least one car entered under the team name "Cadillac" is credited with one or more World Championship points for that event. This includes points awarded for a Sprint if that weekend's Sprint officially awards points. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 21%, based on 56 predictions.
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