Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red warning for extreme heat on August 18?

🤖 Context

YES if, according to AEMET's Meteoalerta archived warnings for 18 August 2026, at least one area in Spain was issued an AEMET aviso of level 'naranja' (orange) or 'rojo' (red) that specifically covers the hazard 'extreme high temperatures' at any time on 18 August 2026 local time in Spain. The aviso must explicitly label heat (for example 'temperaturas', 'temperaturas máximas', or 'olas de calor'). Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 15 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

72%

Predictions made

15

Credits staked

276

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 17, 2026

Closes

Aug 17, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 19, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 72% and NO 28%, based on 15 predictions and 276 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red warning for extreme heat on August 18?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red warning for extreme heat on August 18?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.