Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red thunderstorm warning on August 16?

🤖 Context

YES if AEMET's Meteoalerta ('Avisos') archived warnings for 16 August 2026 show at least one Spanish warning area assigned orange or red for thunderstorms at any time during 16 August 2026 Spain local time. Otherwise NO. Combined warnings count only if thunderstorms are explicitly listed.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 6 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

50%

Predictions made

6

Credits staked

80

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 17, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 50% and NO 50%, based on 6 predictions and 80 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red thunderstorm warning on August 16?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red thunderstorm warning on August 16?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.