Will at least one area in Spain be under an AEMET 'aviso naranja' (orange) or 'aviso rojo' (red) for extreme heat on 13 August?

🤖 Context

YES if AEMET's Meteoalerta archive for 13 August 2026 shows at least one area in Spain issued an 'aviso naranja' (orange) or 'aviso rojo' (red) specifically for extreme high temperatures at any time during that calendar date. Otherwise NO. AEMET (Agencia Estatal de Meteorología) is the authoritative source; independent Spanish news outlets may be used as corroboration.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 81%, based on 12 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

81%

Predictions made

12

Credits staked

535

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 12, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 14, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 81% and NO 19%, based on 12 predictions and 535 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one area in Spain be under an AEMET 'aviso naranja' (orange) or 'aviso rojo' (red) for extreme heat on 13 August?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one area in Spain be under an AEMET 'aviso naranja' (orange) or 'aviso rojo' (red) for extreme heat on 13 August?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.