Will Falcon 9 booster B1088 land on the droneship "Of Course I Still Love You" on September 6?

85%
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46%
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YES if, per AEMET's archived Meteoalerta warnings for 7 September 2026, at least one Spanish area reached 'aviso naranja' (orange) or 'aviso rojo' (red) specifically for a coastal event at any time during 7 September 2026. Only warnings that explicitly list a coastal event at naranja or rojo count, and warnings shown only as 'aviso amarillo' do not qualify. Corroborating reports from major Spanish outlets that clearly cite AEMET are acceptable. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith yellow alerts and some coastal regions set for high temperatures, the chances of at least one orange or red coastal alert tomorrow seem slim. I'm betting NO on this one.

85%
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65%
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36%
+2% last 24h

59%
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77%
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50%
-3% last 24h
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