Will at least 675 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on August 26?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 26 shows at least 675 distinct SNCF trains whose latest reported delay that day was 5 minutes or more, each train counted once. Otherwise NO. The count is based on Clutch's archive computed from SNCF's 'horaires‑sncf' dataset on data.gouv.fr.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 440 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

80%

Predictions made

440

Credits staked

13,774

Comments

2

Opened

Aug 25, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 26, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 80% and NO 20%, based on 440 predictions and 13.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 675 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on August 26?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 675 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on August 26?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.