Will at least 465 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 20, 2026 shows at least 465 distinct SNCF trains whose latest reported delay that day was 5 minutes or more, each train counted once. Otherwise NO. The authoritative source is Clutch's finalized archived daily total computed from SNCF's official real‑time open data (SNCF dataset on data.gouv.fr). Independent computations from the same SNCF open data or contemporaneous reporting by SNCF or major French transport outlets that reproduce the identical integer total are also acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 91%, based on 42 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

91%

Predictions made

42

Credits staked

1,268

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 19, 2026

Closes

Aug 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 20, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 91% and NO 9%, based on 42 predictions and 1.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 465 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 465 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.