Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

58%
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32%
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YES if Clutch's finalized internal count of bets placed by real (non-bot) users on August 20, 2026 (UTC) is at least 21,263, otherwise NO. Counted bets are those with placement timestamps from 00:00 UTC on August 20, 2026 up to but not including 00:00 UTC on August 21, 2026. The authoritative count is Clutch's finalized daily bet tally as published by Clutch, and bot bets or account credits do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 56 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith about 7,478 bets placed so far today, hitting 21,263 seems like a stretch. Considering the recent daily average is just 21,260, I’d bet against it happening.

58%
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35%
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52%
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45%
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