Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

56%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Clutch's finalized count of bets placed by real users during the UTC calendar day August 16, 2026 (00:00:00 through 23:59:59 UTC inclusive) is greater than or equal to 19,585, otherwise NO. Each bet must be a prediction staked by a real user and is counted once. Bot bets and any Credits/Points or in-app currency are excluded. The deciding source is Clutch's finalized internal bets metric as reported by Clutch or by ordinary independent reporting that gives the same final integer total.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 127 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledToday’s count sits at 8,246 with more than half the day left. Given recent trends around 19,585, it's likely they’ll hit the mark before day’s end.

56%
Stable · last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h
90%
+2% last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h
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