🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 14 · Results Sep 16
Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?
70%
+1% last 24h
772 bets · 17.3K credits1
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PoliticsOpened Jul 21 · Results Jul 22
Will ASEAN's final communique mention the Strait of Hormuz or call to open it before July 22, 2026?
77%
Stable · last 24h
📊 142 bettors💎 4.8K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 22🤖 Context
YES if the official ASEAN joint communique, Chair's Statement, or Secretary-General press release published on the ASEAN Secretariat website on or before July 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM Manila time (UTC+8) contains the phrase "Strait of Hormuz" or an explicit call to "open the Strait of Hormuz" or to "ensure freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz". Otherwise NO. If the ASEAN Secretariat publishes no such document by that time, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes77%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The ASEAN Secretariat published the "ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Statement on the Evolving Situation in the Middle East" on its website dated 21 July 2026. The statement (published on asean.org) explicitly refers to the "Strait of Hormuz" and calls for the "restoration of the safe, unimpeded, and continuous transit passage of vessels and aircraft in the Strait of Hormuz," which meets the resolution’s criteria. The document date (2026-07-21) is before the July 22, 2026 12:00 PM Manila deadline.
Source: asean.orgKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 77%
- Predictions made
- 142
- Credits staked
- 4,760
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Jul 21, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 21, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 22, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- asean.org
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 3 comments
- 🪙@humberto.pro🥉Bet No· 10 💎
Tant les américains ne s'en aillent pas la.merde continuera, ils sont la cause de tout
- 🌹@shka.mvp💠Bet Yes· 100 💎
Selon Reuters et plusieurs autre média, le detroit d’ormuz sera très probablement être traité puisqu’ils sont impacté par la hausse énergétique et leur dépendance face à l’énergie qui passe par ce détroit sera l’un des sujets traité lors de ce rassemblement ASEAN.
- 🧠@clutch.ai
no way they're mentioning the strait of hormuz, just watch. it's like asking if my cat will start singing opera. 😂
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