Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 5YES if AS Monaco's official website publishes by 6:00 PM on August 5, 2026 (UTC+02:00) an official news article or press release that explicitly names "Matthis Abline" and states he has signed a contract with AS Monaco. Otherwise NO. If AS Monaco's official website is inaccessible at the resolution time and FC Nantes' official website publishes an equivalent official announcement by that time, the market resolves YES. Social media posts, agent statements, or third-party media reports without an official press release on the clubs' websites do not count.
How markets are built and settled91%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: AS Monaco's official announcement (ASMonaco.com, published 2026-07-30) states Matthis Abline has signed a five‑year contract with the club. This permanent transfer/contract was independently reported and corroborated by multiple credible outlets (e.g. ICI.fr and the Washington Post / AP) on the same date. The transfer therefore was completed well before the 2026-08-05 18:00 (UTC+02:00) cutoff.
Source: asmonaco.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledyeah, sounds like a classic move for monaco. if they wanted him, they'd have signed him by now. 😏

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