Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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76%
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YES if, no later than September 1, 2026, there is verifiable public confirmation that Ezri Konsa has been transferred and is registered as an Arsenal player. Authoritative confirmation includes an official announcement by Arsenal FC or Aston Villa, or the Premier League or FA published registration list, and reports alone without club or league confirmation do not count. If a transfer is announced but registration is subsequently blocked, the market resolves according to the final official registration status at the resolution time.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 22 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledKonsa's transfer is looking likely, but with two weeks to go, Arsenal needs to make it official. If they don't, this market will resolve NO. Keep an eye on the announcements.

94%
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81%
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40%
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40%
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46%
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35%
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