Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

91%
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73%
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YES if Apple publicly announces a new iPhone model with a physically foldable display on September 9, 2026 (the date of Apple’s “Surprise and shine” event that begins at 10:00 AM PT), by showing it in the event livestream, posting an Apple Newsroom press release, or publishing an Apple product page. Public demonstrations of a shipping product count, and teasers of prototypes without a product announcement do not. If Apple itself does not publish one on that date, clear mainstream reporting (for example Reuters, AP, The Verge, TechCrunch, or 9to5mac) that explicitly states Apple announced a foldable iPhone at the event resolves YES, otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 1 prediction.
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91%
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63%
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58%
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64%
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96%
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