Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

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70%
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YES if, on September 18, 2026 (United States local time), Apple's official U.S. online Apple Store or Apple Newsroom shows the iPhone 18 Pro available for shipment to U.S. customers or available for in‑store pickup in the U.S., or if Apple issues an official statement saying shipments or retail availability for the iPhone 18 Pro began that day. Otherwise NO. If only other iPhone models ship on September 18, or Apple states a different start date, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's a solid bet that the iPhone 18 Pro will be available on September 18. Apple typically launches new models on schedule, and this aligns with their past release patterns.

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62%
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56%
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55%
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33%
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62%
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