Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

84%
+2% last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Apple or at least one named news publisher issues a public announcement confirming a signed paid licensing agreement under which Apple will pay that publisher to supply current-news content for Siri, no later than September 15, 2026. Public announcements include, for example, an Apple newsroom post or a publisher press release. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 60%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple's not the type to let a deadline slide, especially with Siri needing fresh content. They've got 33 days; I’d bet on them making a deal before time runs out.

84%
+2% last 24h

49%
Stable · last 24h

93%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h

28%
Stable · last 24h
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