Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

92%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, Apple Maps (the Apple Maps app on iOS/iPadOS and/or maps.apple.com) is demonstrably serving paid advertisements to users in both the United States and Canada. Ads must appear in search results, place listings, or discovery cards and be visibly labeled 'Ad', 'Sponsored', 'Promoted', or an obvious equivalent, presented as paid placements. YES also if Apple or Apple Ads documentation or Apple Newsroom explicitly states Apple Maps ads are live in both countries, or if corroborating screenshots/reporting from reputable outlets show this. Otherwise NO. If ads are live only in one country or only in a private pilot limited to selected businesses, that is NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 40%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple has until the end of next month to launch ads in both countries. Given their recent focus on revenue streams, I expect ads will be live by then.

92%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h

47%
Stable · last 24h

86%
+12% last 24h

52%
+6% last 24h
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