Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

49%
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60%
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YES if the numeric market cap shown for Apple Inc. (AAPL) is strictly greater than the numeric market cap shown for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) in the first Nasdaq stock screener reading observed at or after 15:00 UTC on Monday, September 14, 2026. Use the combined market-cap shown for any multi-class issuer. If a company has no numeric market-cap displayed at that reading, treat it as zero. If the two displayed numeric market-cap values are exactly equal, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against nasdaq.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 60%, based on 65 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple's market cap gap is significant at 18.9%, and with just under a week left, it’s unlikely they’ll leap ahead of NVIDIA. Stick with NVDA here.

49%
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56%
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81%
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55%
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36%
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48%
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