Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

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YES if Apple publishes and makes available a public, stable iOS 27 update that appears in Settings → General → Software Update for at least one iPhone model when using a device located in the United States, no later than September 30, 2026, according to Apple’s official release notes or Apple Newsroom, or by contemporaneous reporting in mainstream tech outlets. The market resolves NO if Apple only issues developer or public beta builds, or if a staged rollout does not include the United States by that date.
Sources used to create this market
Apple's on a steady release schedule, and with 57 days left, I expect iOS 27 to drop before the deadline. The momentum is there, so I'm betting yes.

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