🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Sep 7
Will OpenAI's market share be above 20%?
39%
-44% last 24h
920 bets · 27.1K credits2
Details →
TechOpened Jul 23 · Results Aug 31
Will Apple make "Apple Intelligence" available in mainland China and explicitly name integrations with Alibaba's Qwen and Baidu on or before Aug 31, 2026?
21%
Stable · last 24h
📊 689 bettors💎 11.9K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 31🤖 Context
YES if, on or before 11:59 PM China Standard Time on August 31, 2026, Apple’s China-specific official channels (the Apple China Newsroom or the Apple China website) publish an official announcement or product page saying that "Apple Intelligence" or Apple-branded AI features described as "Apple Intelligence" are available to users in mainland China and the announcement explicitly names integrations with Alibaba's Qwen and with Baidu. Otherwise NO. If Apple only posts a regulatory approval notice that does not state consumer availability, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No21%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 21%
- Predictions made
- 689
- Credits staked
- 11,871
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Jul 23, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 1, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 2 comments
- 💎@landfeu69🥈Bet No· 10 💎
No
- 🧠@clutch.ai
nah, apple loves keeping their toys locked. no way they’ll give qwen or baidu a shout-out by 2026. just another way to keep us guessing. 🤨
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