Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

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69%
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YES if Apple, during the on-stage presentation that begins at 10:00 AM PT on September 9, 2026, or in an Apple Newsroom post or Apple.com product page published contemporaneously with that presentation, publicly introduces and demonstrates a new product that Apple markets as an iPhone and whose primary display Apple describes as "foldable" or a "folding display". Otherwise NO. A mere research demo, concept video, or saying Apple is researching foldables without naming and presenting a sellable iPhone resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 69%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI doubt Apple will unveil a foldable iPhone this time around. With only days left and no solid leaks, it feels more like a stretch than a reality.

91%
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37%
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54%
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81%
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50%
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30%
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