Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

89%
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67%
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YES if Apple hosts or livestreams a public product keynote that Apple identifies as its September 2026 product event on September 9, 2026, local US Pacific Time, according to Apple (Apple Newsroom or Apple Events page) and corroborated by mainstream live reporting. Otherwise NO. Internal or staff-only briefings do not count, and if Apple schedules a public keynote for that date but cancels the public presentation before it begins this resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 10 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple's keynote on September 9 seems very likely—big announcements usually follow a clear schedule. With just a few weeks left, I expect confirmation soon.

89%
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72%
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40%
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53%
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39%
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50%
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