Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

90%
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55%
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YES if Apple hosts an official public event (a livestream or press release) on September 9, 2026 in US Pacific Time and at that event publicly announces one or more new iPhone models whose name contains "iPhone 18" (for example "iPhone 18", "iPhone 18 Pro", "iPhone Ultra"). Otherwise NO. The outcome will be determined from Apple's live presentation, Apple Newsroom, or Apple's Events/product pages.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 9 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple's track record suggests they'll announce a new iPhone on September 9. Expect an official event and the 'iPhone 18' lineup, especially given the time left to promote.

90%
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62%
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70%
Stable · last 24h

56%
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33%
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62%
Stable · last 24h
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