Will Apple have a larger market cap than NVIDIA?

🤖 Context

YES if the first Nasdaq stock screener reading observed at or after Friday, 18 September 2026 15:00 UTC shows Apple Inc. (AAPL) with a strictly greater company-level market capitalization than NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA). Nasdaq's "Market Activity - Stocks Screener" is the primary source and it collapses multiple share classes into a single company entry. If the screener shows identical market-cap figures to the displayed precision or explicitly ranks NVDA above AAPL, the market resolves NO. If one or both companies are absent from the screener, resolvers should use contemporaneous market-cap figures from major finance data providers such as Yahoo Finance, Google Finance or Bloomberg at or after the same timestamp to determine which company was larger, and if no reliable public figure for a missing company is available at or after that time the market resolves NO. If the target day is a US market holiday, the screener's frozen reading from the last trading day's close as presented by Nasdaq at or after the timestamp is authoritative.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against nasdaq.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 20%, based on 129 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

20%

Predictions made

129

Credits staked

4,225

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 13, 2026

Closes

Sep 17, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 18, 2026

Resolution source

nasdaq.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 17, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 20% and NO 80%, based on 129 predictions and 4.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against nasdaq.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Apple have a larger market cap than NVIDIA?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Apple have a larger market cap than NVIDIA?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.