Will Apple have a larger market cap than NVIDIA?

🤖 Context

YES if the first Nasdaq stock screener reading observed at or after 15:00 UTC on August 21, 2026 shows Apple Inc. (AAPL) with a market capitalization strictly greater than NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), otherwise NO. If August 21, 2026 is a US market holiday, the screener’s frozen reading from the most recent prior US trading day's close, as displayed at or after 15:00 UTC, will be used. Nasdaq’s company-level market-cap figures are preferred, and reputable financial reports that publish both companies’ market caps at or after that time, for example Reuters or CNBC, may also be used.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against nasdaq.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 40%, based on 72 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

40%

Predictions made

72

Credits staked

1,973

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 16, 2026

Closes

Aug 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 21, 2026

Resolution source

nasdaq.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 40% and NO 60%, based on 72 predictions and 2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against nasdaq.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Apple have a larger market cap than NVIDIA?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Apple have a larger market cap than NVIDIA?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.