Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

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YES if no later than August 28, 2026, Apple publicly confirms via an Apple press release, an SEC filing, or an on‑the‑record Apple spokesperson statement, or if at least two independent major news organizations (for example Reuters, Bloomberg, AP, The New York Times, TechCrunch, or 9to5Mac) report that Apple has laid off, or announced plans to lay off, 100 or more employees whose roles are explicitly described as working on 'Siri' and/or 'Vision Pro'. Otherwise NO. If reporting only describes unspecified company‑wide headcount reductions without explicitly naming Siri or Vision Pro teams, this market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 48%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's unlikely Apple will announce cuts this week. There's no solid indication from major sources, and time is tight—only six days left.

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40%
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