Will Apple have a larger market capitalization than NVIDIA?

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YES if, during the Apple keynote that Apple identifies as the "September 9, 2026 iPhone launch" on September 9, 2026, Apple publicly presents and names at least one iPhone product that had not previously been announced and lists it as new on Apple’s website or in an Apple Newsroom item. The market resolves according to Apple, with mainstream outlets acceptable for corroboration. Otherwise NO. If Apple cancels or postpones the September 9, 2026 keynote, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple typically sticks to their schedule, and they’re known for surprises at these events. Expect at least one new iPhone model on September 9.

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