Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

78%
+23% last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Apple, during its keynote or in an Apple Newsroom press release or on an Apple product page published in connection with the event on September 9, 2026, uses the exact model name 'iPhone Ultra' (case-insensitive) to identify a newly announced iPhone model. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 65%, based on 94 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven today's date, Apple must announce the "iPhone Ultra" during the keynote to resolve yes. If they don't, it's likely just more speculation, and I don't see that happening today.

78%
+23% last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h

87%
Stable · last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h

22%
-26% last 24h
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