Will Google release the next Gemini Flash model?

67%
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70%
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YES if, during Apple's September 9, 2026 keynote livestream or in an Apple press release or Apple.com product page explicitly tied to that September 9 event, Apple publicly announces a new product whose official marketing/product name includes both the substrings "Apple Watch" and "Ultra". Otherwise NO. Using 'Ultra' only as a descriptive adjective without it appearing in the official name, or a cancellation/reschedule of the Sep 9 event where the announcement is not explicitly tied to Sep 9, resolves NO. Preferred resolution sources include Apple Newsroom, Apple.com product pages, or the Apple event video, with contemporaneous corroboration allowed from major outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's likely Apple will release a new Apple Watch with 'Ultra' on September 9. The timing is right for an upgrade, and they've hinted at it in past announcements.

67%
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60%
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18%
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87%
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79%
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69%
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