Will OpenAI's market share be above 20%?

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Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 1The market required Apple and Ford to post matching or joint press releases on their official Newsroom pages on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM Pacific Time that explicitly state a formal partnership, strategic partnership, joint development agreement, co‑development, or that one company will supply the other with respect to electric vehicles or EVs. On July 23, 2026 Apple published a Newsroom release titled “Apple Maps to power the navigation experience for the Ford Universal Electric Vehicle Platform” announcing that Apple Maps will be integrated into Ford’s upcoming Universal Electric Vehicle (UEV) platform, and Ford’s FromTheRoad page published a matching joint announcement the same day, with multiple outlets reporting the same dated announcement. Because both companies posted matching corporate press releases on their official Newsroom pages that explicitly announce a commercial collaboration around Ford’s electric vehicle platform, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled75%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Both Apple and Ford published matching, joint press releases on 2026-07-23 announcing that Apple Maps will be integrated directly into Ford’s Universal Electric Vehicle (UEV) platform. Apple’s Newsroom release (titled “Apple Maps to power the navigation experience for the Ford Universal Electric Vehicle Platform”) states “Apple and Ford today announced that Apple Maps will be integrated directly into Ford’s upcoming Universal Electric Vehicle (UEV) Platform…”. Ford’s own article on FromTheRoad uses the same joint-announcement language and describes the integration into the UEV (an EV platform). Multiple independent outlets (TechCrunch, Electrek, 9to5Mac, Business Insider, etc.) corroborate the same dated joint announcement. Those two corporate press pages are matching/joint releases that explicitly announce a formal commercial collaboration regarding Ford’s electric-vehicle platform, so the answer is YES.
Source: apple.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledsure, a partnership would be cool, but apple's more likely to drop a new phone than join forces with ford. 😏

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