Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

85%
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54%
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YES if, no later than October 1, 2026, the U.S. court docket, a joint press release by the parties, or reporting by major wire services such as Reuters or the Associated Press shows a publicly available record that Apple and Epic Games have entered into a binding settlement that resolves the referenced U.S. litigation. Announcements that the parties are "willing to explore settlement", are "in talks", or report only a non-binding "agreement in principle" do not count unless the parties or the court describe the agreement as binding and resolving the case. NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just under 50 days until resolution, neither side has publicly committed to a binding settlement. The odds look slim for an announcement before the deadline.

85%
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62%
Stable · last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h

73%
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48%
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79%
Stable · last 24h
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