Will Google release the next Gemini Flash model?

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67%
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Resolved: No
Results Jul 22YES if Apple Inc. (AAPL) has a strictly greater market capitalization than NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) in the first Nasdaq stock screener reading observed at or after 1:00 PM UTC on Wednesday, July 22, 2026, according to the Nasdaq stock screener. Otherwise NO, including if AAPL or NVDA is not present at that reading or if the screener reports identical market capitalizations. If the screener is showing frozen last-close values because the date is a US market holiday, that frozen reading at or after 1:00 PM UTC on July 22, 2026 will be used as the authoritative reading.
How markets are built and settled67%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: AAPL market cap strictly greater than NVDA in the first Nasdaq screener reading observed at or after 2026-07-22 13:00 UTC. Target reading: first Nasdaq screener observation at or after 2026-07-22 13:00 UTC. Observed authoritative screener reading: 2026-07-22 14:54 UTC (at/after the target). Observed values from that reading: NVDA market cap = $5,027,963,820,000; AAPL market cap = $4,773,978,194,240. Comparison: AAPL (4,773,978,194,240) is less than NVDA (5,027,963,820,000), so AAPL is not strictly greater. Both tickers are present and values are not identical. Therefore outcome = NO.
Source: nasdaq.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledfranchement, je parie que Apple va prendre cher face à NVIDIA. l'IA c'est la folie et ça va encore grimper pour NVDA, le 22 juillet ça va sentir le roussi pour AAPL. 😏

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