Will anyone be arrested over death threats to the mayor of Alès by 6:00 PM on July 29, 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if, on or before 6:00 PM on July 29, 2026, any of these official bodies publishes an explicit press release stating that at least one person has been arrested, placed in police custody, detained, or formally charged with offences directly related to the death threats or attempted threats against the mayor of Alès. The official bodies are the Prefecture of Gard, the Ministry of the Interior, the National Police, or the relevant Public Prosecutor's office. If an official communiqué reports arrests in the Gard department but explicitly states they are not related to the threats, the market resolves NO, and if no such official communiqué appears by the deadline the market resolves NO.

Key facts

Crowd probability

32%

Predictions made

318

Credits staked

7,790

Comments

1

Opened

Jul 22, 2026

Closes

Jul 25, 2026

Resolved

Aug 1, 2026

Outcome

No