Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

80%
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76%
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YES if a published 24‑hour total, from 00:00:00 to 23:59:59 CEST on August 24, 2026, from at least one official meteorological observation station located inside the administrative boundaries of any of the named departments is ≥50.0 mm, as shown in station logs or daily summaries according to Météo‑France. If Météo‑France does not publish the 24‑hour total for that station, corroborating reports from at least two independent reputable sources (AFP, Reuters, a departmental prefecture bulletin, a major regional media outlet, or Infoclimat) that explicitly state a ≥50.0 mm 24‑hour measurement will be accepted. Exactly 50.0 mm counts as YES, and only measurements from stations physically located inside the named departments count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 93 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledLooking at the forecast and local conditions, it seems likely that at least one station will report over 50 mm tomorrow. I'd bet on a YES here.

80%
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49%
Stable · last 24h

24%
Stable · last 24h

32%
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69%
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77%
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