Will the US and Iran both publicly announce a mutual ceasefire by Aug 10, 2026?

14%
-1% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than August 19, 2026, a Mexican federal court (a federal district court "juzgado de distrito" or a tribunal colegiado) posts and publishes an order in the Poder Judicial de la Federación public records, or an order is published in full and reported by major national media, that explicitly suspends, cancels, or orders UNAM to refrain from conducting one or more scheduled sessions of the in‑person 'examen de control' on any date from August 12 through August 19, 2026 inclusive. Otherwise NO. Do not count rulings that only grant private relief to a named applicant if they do not cause any scheduled session or campus‑wide session to be postponed or cancelled.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 40%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's unlikely any sessions will be canceled before August 19. With the date so close and no recent major court actions reported, this seems stable for now.

14%
-1% last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h

23%
+1% last 24h

42%
+1% last 24h
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