Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

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YES if, on 6 August 2026 (between 00:00 and 23:59:59 CEST), there is an official order, bulletin, or press release from the Junta de Andalucía, any Andalusian municipal or regional authority, or the regional Consejería de Educación that closes one or more public primary or secondary schools in any Andalusian municipality citing heat, extreme temperatures, wildfire smoke, or other direct effects of the heatwave. Voluntary closures by individual schools, private school closures, or suspension of extracurricular activities that are not formal school closures do not count. Otherwise NO.
Sources used to create this market
With only two days left, it seems increasingly likely that extreme heat and wildfire smoke will prompt official school closures. Stay tuned for the Junta's announcement.

91%
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50%
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38%
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25%
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75%
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82%
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