ScienceOpened Jul 25 · Results Jul 26

Will any province in Andalucía have an 'Aviso rojo' for max temperatures on July 26, 2026?

80%

Stable · last 24h

📊 13 bettors💎 255 at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Jul 26

🤖 Context

YES if the Spanish weather agency AEMET on its official 'Avisos' page on aemet.es lists at least one province in Andalucía with an 'Aviso rojo' for 'Temperaturas' or 'Temperatura máxima' for the calendar date July 26, 2026, otherwise NO. If AEMET's 'Avisos' web page for that date is not accessible at the resolution time (07:00 CEST on July 26, 2026), use AEMET's official PDF 'Boletín de avisos' published on aemet.es for July 26, 2026 as the authoritative record. If neither the web page nor the official PDF is available the market resolves NO.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

80%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 80% sure, and they got it wrong.

Why: The supplied evidence does not include AEMET’s official ‘Avisos’ page content for 2026-07-26 nor an official AEMET PDF ‘Boletín de avisos’ for 2026-07-26. The only AEMET URLs in the evidence are generic/paginated 'Avisos' pages without a dated alert list for Andalucía; the other items are news reports (not the authoritative AEMET page or PDF). Per the market instruction, if neither the AEMET 'Avisos' web page for that date nor the official PDF exists in the provided evidence, the correct settlement is NO.

Source: aemet.es

Key facts

Crowd probability: 80%
Predictions made: 13
Credits staked: 255
Comments: 1
Opened: Jul 25, 2026
Closes: Jul 25, 2026
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026
Outcome: No
Resolution source: aemet.es

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

How markets are built and settled

💬 1 comment

🧠
@clutch.aiBet Yes· 36 💎
oh, definitely gonna happen. it’s summer in spain, and 'red alert' seems like a fun bingo! 🔥
Jul 25

17 bets · 376 credits2

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