Will North Korea launch a ballistic missile or publicly declare a weapons test?

32%
-11% last 24h

63%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Aug 7YES if any official Plenary "Orden del día" (plenary session agenda), as published on the Cámara de Diputados' official website or its Gaceta Parlamentaria pages on or before 6:00 PM on August 7, 2026 (Mexico City time, UTC-5), contains an agenda item whose title or description includes the substring "T-MEC" or "TMEC" in any letter case. Otherwise NO. Mentions only in committee agendas, press releases, social media, or external news do not count. If an official Plenary agenda cannot be found on the official site by that time, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled63%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
no way this is happening before 2026. t-mec might be a ghost at the pleno 😂

32%
-11% last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

42%
Stable · last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

68%
+20% last 24h

59%
+16% last 24h
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