Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if any player's official single-round score for any round of the 2026 BMW Championship (August 20–23, 2026) is 60 or lower according to the PGA TOUR's official round-by-round scoring. Otherwise NO. Only rounds that appear in the PGA TOUR's official scoring count. Exhibition or unofficial pro-am scores do not count. If the tournament is cancelled with no official rounds recorded, it resolves NO. Ordinary reporting from ESPN, AP, or CBS Sports may also verify the fact.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith the tournament starting tomorrow and scores trending high lately, it’s unlikely anyone shoots a 60 or lower. PGA players can be unpredictable, but I'm betting against it this time.

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