Will any place in Albigeois, north‑east of the Toulouse plain, Agenais, Gers, Quercy, Périgord, Landes or Gironde record at least 30.0 mm of rain in one hour on August 16?

🤖 Context

YES if, between 00:00 and 23:59:59 on August 16, 2026 (France local time), an observed one‑hour precipitation total of at least 30.0 mm is recorded at a named location within any of the listed areas. Preferred evidence is Météo‑France hourly observation data showing a numeric one‑hour total ≥ 30.0 mm at a station in one of the named areas, or an official departmental or prefectural communique, or reports from at least two independent reputable regional or national news outlets that explicitly name a location in the listed areas and quote a one‑hour observed total ≥ 30.0 mm, and modelled forecasts, multi‑hour totals without a one‑hour figure, or social‑media‑only claims do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 25 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

35%

Predictions made

25

Credits staked

578

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 17, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 35% and NO 65%, based on 25 predictions and 578 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any place in Albigeois, north‑east of the Toulouse plain, Agenais, Gers, Quercy, Périgord, Landes or Gironde record at least 30.0 mm of rain in one hour on August 16?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any place in Albigeois, north‑east of the Toulouse plain, Agenais, Gers, Quercy, Périgord, Landes or Gironde record at least 30.0 mm of rain in one hour on August 16?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.